Teams › Big East · Compare Marquette with another team
Marquette
Marquette returns 64% of last season's minutes and rates #57 on offense and #31 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: +5.2 to +19.9.
Why we have them here
Marquette's preseason projection of +12.5 (No. 47 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth +8.2, about the +7.8 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 113 at the end of 2025-26) adds +0.6, less than its neighbours' +2.0; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add +2.9. A stretch at the top of the scale adds +0.4, because a straight-line calibration shrinks elite teams. It returns 64% of last season's minutes, more than teams ranked near it (33%). The projection leans most on Nolan Minessale (+5.6), Nigel James Jr. (+5.2) and Sananda Fru (+3.0); the newcomer who matters most is Nolan Minessale, a transfer from St. Thomas-Minnesota, at +5.6. Its 80% range, +5.2 to +19.9, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 62% · Transfer 25% · Freshman 9% · Other newcomer 5%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | Nolan Minessale | G | 6-5 | 2 | Transfer | St. Thomas-Minnesota | 28 | +8.0 | +5.6 |
| 61 | Nigel James Jr. | G | 6-0 | 1 | Returning | Marquette | 29 | +7.2 | +5.2 |
| 196 | Sananda Fru | F | 6-11 | 1 | Transfer | Louisville | 21 | +5.6 | +3.0 |
| 470 | Royce Parham | F | 6-8 | 2 | Returning | Marquette | 26 | +3.3 | +2.1 |
| 561 | Adrien Stevens | G | 6-4 | 1 | Returning | Marquette | 23 | +2.9 | +1.7 |
| 1452 | Alex Egbuonu | F | 6-6 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 11 | +0.4 | +0.1 |
| 1816 | Michael Phillips II | F | 6-6 | 1 | Returning | Marquette | 8 | -0.3 | -0.1 |
| 2069 | Damarius Owens | F | 6-7 | 2 | Returning | Marquette | 14 | -0.5 | -0.2 |
| 2427 | Braeden Brenn | F | 6-8 | 1 | Returning | Marquette | 4 | -1.6 | -0.1 |
| 2471 | Ian Miletic | F | 6-7 | 0 | Other newcomer | 4 | -1.5 | -0.2 | |
| 2504 | Joshua Clark | F | 7-1 | 1 | Returning | Marquette | 6 | -1.3 | -0.2 |
| 2633 | Casey O'Malley | G | 6-3 | 3 | Returning | Marquette | 3 | -1.9 | -0.2 |
| 2705 | Nash Walker | G | 6-6 | 0 | Other newcomer | 5 | -1.7 | -0.2 | |
| 3042 | Ethan Johnston | G | 6-6 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 6 | -1.8 | -0.3 |
| 3756 | Caedin Hamilton | F | 6-9 | 2 | Returning | Marquette | 11 | -1.9 | -0.5 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | vs |  Mercyhurst #239 | +18.0 | 93% | |
| Fri Nov 06 | vs |  Detroit Mercy #312 | +21.6 | 96% | |
| Wed Nov 11 | at |  Michigan #11 | -12.6 | 16% | |
| Sun Nov 15 | N |  Missouri #43 | -0.4 | 49% | |
| Wed Nov 18 | vs |  Northern Illinois #333 | +22.5 | 96% | |
| Sun Nov 22 | vs |  Chicago State #337 | +22.2 | 96% | |
| Wed Nov 25 | N |  Virginia #19 | -4.3 | 36% | |
| Fri Nov 27 | N |  Texas A&M #31 | -1.8 | 44% | |
| Tue Dec 01 | vs |  Wagner #291 | +20.2 | 95% | |
| Sat Dec 05 | vs |  Wisconsin #34 | +5.8 | 68% | |
| Wed Dec 09 | vs |  New Hampshire #335 | +22.9 | 97% | |
| Sat Dec 12 | vs |  Mississippi State #78 | +10.5 | 80% | |
| Sat Dec 19 | vs |  Xavier #57 | conf | +5.2 | 66% |
| Wed Dec 23 | at |  Butler #86 | conf | +1.0 | 53% |
| Thu Dec 31 | at |  Creighton #41 | conf | -4.1 | 37% |
| Tue Jan 05 | vs |  Providence #49 | conf | +4.3 | 63% |
| Sat Jan 09 | at |  Villanova #24 | conf | -7.2 | 28% |
| Tue Jan 12 | at |  UConn #4 | conf | -10.7 | 19% |
| Sat Jan 16 | vs |  DePaul #97 | conf | +8.3 | 75% |
| Wed Jan 20 | vs | Creighton #41 | conf | +3.3 | 61% |
| Sat Jan 23 | at | Xavier #57 | conf | -2.3 | 43% |
| Wed Jan 27 | at |  Seton Hall #106 | conf | +2.8 | 59% |
| Sat Jan 30 | vs | Butler #86 | conf | +7.6 | 73% |
| Tue Feb 02 | vs |  St. John's #21 | conf | -0.3 | 49% |
| Sat Feb 06 | vs |  Georgetown #84 | conf | +7.2 | 72% |
| Wed Feb 10 | at | Providence #49 | conf | -3.1 | 40% |
| Wed Feb 17 | at | St. John's #21 | conf | -7.6 | 27% |
| Sat Feb 20 | vs | UConn #4 | conf | -3.8 | 38% |
| Tue Feb 23 | vs | Seton Hall #106 | conf | +9.4 | 78% |
| Fri Feb 26 | vs | Villanova #24 | conf | +0.3 | 51% |
| Tue Mar 02 | at | Georgetown #84 | conf | +1.1 | 54% |
| Sat Mar 06 | at | DePaul #97 | conf | +2.0 | 56% |
Projected margin is from Marquette's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.