Teams › ACC · Compare Notre Dame with another team
Notre Dame
Notre Dame returns 42% of last season's minutes and rates #79 on offense and #76 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: +1.4 to +15.8.
Why we have them here
Notre Dame's preseason projection of +8.6 (No. 75 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth +6.0, more than the +4.7 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 115 at the end of 2025-26) adds +0.8, about its neighbours' +1.3; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add +1.4. It returns 42% of last season's minutes, about the same as teams ranked near it (42%). The projection leans most on Logan Duncomb (+4.7), Braeden Shrewsberry (+3.4) and Braeden Smith (+2.2); the newcomer who matters most is Logan Duncomb, a transfer from Winthrop, at +4.7. Its 80% range, +1.4 to +15.8, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 37% · Transfer 46% · Freshman 6% · Other newcomer 10%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | Logan Duncomb | C | 6-10 | 5 | Transfer | Winthrop | 23 | +8.1 | +4.7 |
| 204 | Braeden Shrewsberry | G | 6-4 | 3 | Returning | Notre Dame | 28 | +4.8 | +3.4 |
| 319 | Braeden Smith | G | 6-0 | 4 | Transfer | Gonzaga | 17 | +5.2 | +2.2 |
| 603 | Ethan Roberts | F | 6-5 | 4 | Transfer | Pennsylvania | 23 | +2.8 | +1.6 |
| 809 | Brady Koehler | F | 6-10 | 1 | Returning | Notre Dame | 16 | +2.4 | +1.0 |
| 1411 | Bryce Dortch | F | 6-9 | 2 | Transfer | Rutgers | 12 | +0.5 | +0.1 |
| 1457 | Jonathan Sanderson | G | 6-2 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 10 | +0.4 | +0.1 |
| 1624 | Devin Brown | G | 6-6 | 1 | Transfer | Davidson | 18 | +0.0 | +0.0 |
| 1822 | Gan-Erdene Solongo | C | 7-0 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 2 | -0.6 | +0.0 |
| 2077 | Matthew MacLellan | F | 6-9 | 1 | Returning | Notre Dame | 5 | -0.8 | -0.1 |
| 2257 | Logan Imes | G | 6-4 | 3 | Returning | Notre Dame | 16 | -0.6 | -0.2 |
| 2264 | Jake Burow | F | 6-3 | 0 | Other newcomer | 4 | -1.2 | -0.1 | |
| 2347 | Nick Shrewsberry | F | 6-5 | 0 | Other newcomer | 4 | -1.4 | -0.1 | |
| 2446 | Luke Devine | F | 6-7 | 0 | Other newcomer | 4 | -1.5 | -0.2 | |
| 2581 | Yoro Diallo | F | 6-9 | 1 | Other newcomer | 4 | -1.6 | -0.2 | |
| 2606 | Brady Stevens | G | 6-4 | 1 | Returning | Notre Dame | 4 | -1.8 | -0.2 |
| 2662 | Tommy Ahneman | F | 6-10 | 0 | Other newcomer | 5 | -1.7 | -0.2 | |
| 2815 | Mark Zackery IV | G | 5-11 | 1 | Returning | Notre Dame | 5 | -1.8 | -0.2 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Nov 01 | N |  Villanova #24 | -6.0 | 31% | |
| Thu Nov 05 | vs |  Mercyhurst #239 | +13.5 | 86% | |
| Mon Nov 09 | vs |  Eastern Illinois #324 | +16.9 | 92% | |
| Wed Nov 11 | vs |  South Carolina State #360 | +21.4 | 96% | |
| Tue Nov 17 | N |  Florida #1 | -15.7 | 10% | |
| Tue Nov 24 | vs |  Central Michigan #259 | +14.4 | 88% | |
| Sat Nov 28 | vs |  Stonehill #354 | +20.0 | 95% | |
| Wed Dec 02 | vs |  Vanderbilt #26 | +0.5 | 51% | |
| Sat Dec 05 | vs |  TCU #51 | +3.3 | 60% | |
| Tue Dec 08 | vs |  Long Island University #210 | +12.8 | 85% | |
| Sat Dec 12 | vs |  Ohio State #27 | +0.5 | 52% | |
| Mon Dec 21 | vs |  Le Moyne #217 | +13.2 | 86% | |
| Wed Dec 30 | vs |  Stanford #69 | conf | +2.2 | 57% |
| Wed Jan 06 | vs |  Virginia Tech #45 | conf | -0.4 | 49% |
| Sat Jan 09 | at |  Georgia Tech #140 | conf | +2.7 | 59% |
| Tue Jan 12 | at |  Wake Forest #76 | conf | -3.0 | 40% |
| Sat Jan 16 | vs |  California #115 | conf | +6.1 | 69% |
| Wed Jan 20 | vs |  Pittsburgh #68 | conf | +1.9 | 56% |
| Sat Jan 23 | at |  Duke #2 | conf | -15.4 | 11% |
| Tue Jan 26 | at |  Florida State #90 | conf | -1.7 | 45% |
| Sat Jan 30 | vs |  SMU #53 | conf | +0.3 | 51% |
| Tue Feb 02 | vs |  North Carolina #54 | conf | +0.5 | 52% |
| Sat Feb 06 | at |  Boston College #114 | conf | +1.0 | 53% |
| Sat Feb 13 | at |  Virginia #19 | conf | -11.0 | 19% |
| Wed Feb 17 | vs | Wake Forest #76 | conf | +2.8 | 59% |
| Sat Feb 20 | at |  Miami #18 | conf | -10.1 | 21% |
| Wed Feb 24 | at |  NC State #36 | conf | -6.9 | 29% |
| Sat Feb 27 | vs |  Syracuse #71 | conf | +2.3 | 57% |
| Tue Mar 02 | at |  Clemson #46 | conf | -5.5 | 33% |
| Sat Mar 06 | vs | Boston College #114 | conf | +6.0 | 69% |
Projected margin is from Notre Dame's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.