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Eastern Kentucky
Eastern Kentucky returns 56% of last season's minutes and rates #198 on offense and #313 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -12.2 to +2.7.
Why we have them here
Eastern Kentucky's preseason projection of -4.7 (No. 264 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -3.7, less than the -2.7 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 272 at the end of 2025-26) adds -0.9, about its neighbours' -0.9; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -0.5. It returns 56% of last season's minutes, less than teams ranked near it (70%). The projection leans most on MJ Williams (+3.0), Mason Miles (-0.5) and Rydge Beverly (-0.6); the newcomer who matters most is Rydge Beverly, a newcomer from outside Division I, at -0.6. Its 80% range, -12.2 to +2.7, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 43% · Transfer 13% · Other newcomer 25%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 254 | MJ Williams | G | 5-10 | 1 | Returning | Eastern Kentucky | 27 | +4.5 | +3.0 |
| 3388 | Austin Ball | F | 6-7 | 3 | Returning | Eastern Kentucky | 22 | -1.1 | -0.6 |
| 3760 | Rydge Beverly | F | 6-0 | 0 | Other newcomer | 12 | -1.8 | -0.6 | |
| 4028 | Mason Miles | G | 6-2 | 1 | Returning | Eastern Kentucky | 8 | -2.5 | -0.5 |
| 4042 | Trey Coles | F | 6-4 | 0 | Other newcomer | 12 | -2.1 | -0.6 | |
| 4244 | Mouhamed Camara | F | 6-8 | 0 | Other newcomer | 12 | -2.3 | -0.7 | |
| 4338 | Damone King | G | 6-2 | 1 | Transfer | Rhode Island | 14 | -2.3 | -0.8 |
| 4344 | Aric Demings | G | 1 | Other newcomer | 13 | -2.4 | -0.8 | ||
| 4398 | Omer Hamama | G | 6-2 | 1 | Transfer | Kent State | 12 | -2.6 | -0.8 |
| 4870 | Asa White | C | 6-9 | 1 | Returning | Eastern Kentucky | 10 | -3.8 | -1.0 |
| 5019 | Yvens Paul | F | 6-7 | 2 | Returning | Eastern Kentucky | 19 | -3.2 | -1.6 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue Nov 10 | at |  Georgia Tech #140 | -10.2 | 21% | |
| Mon Nov 16 | at |  Kent State #133 | -10.1 | 21% | |
| Fri Nov 20 | vs |  Bellarmine #305 | +7.0 | 71% | |
| Wed Nov 25 | at |  Miami (OH) #96 | -14.2 | 13% | |
| Sat Nov 28 | vs |  Tennessee Tech #280 | +6.1 | 69% | |
| Wed Dec 02 | vs |  UT Martin #271 | +5.6 | 68% | |
| Sun Dec 06 | at |  Auburn #16 | -23.9 | 3% | |
| Sun Dec 13 | vs |  Lipscomb #118 | +0.0 | 50% | |
| Fri Dec 18 | vs |  South Dakota State #213 | +3.7 | 62% | |
| Mon Dec 21 | at |  Air Force #357 | +1.7 | 56% | |
| Thu Dec 31 | at |  West Florida #304 | -4.3 | 36% | |
| Sat Jan 02 | at |  Queens University #142 | -10.4 | 20% | |
| Wed Jan 06 | at |  Austin Peay #163 | conf | -6.5 | 30% |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs |  West Georgia #295 | conf | +3.8 | 62% |
| Wed Jan 13 | vs |  Tarleton State #257 | conf | +2.2 | 57% |
| Sat Jan 16 | vs |  North Alabama #332 | conf | +5.4 | 67% |
| Wed Jan 20 | at |  Little Rock #320 | conf | +0.6 | 52% |
| Sat Jan 23 | at |  Central Arkansas #181 | conf | -5.8 | 32% |
| Sat Jan 30 | at | West Georgia #295 | conf | -0.6 | 48% |
| Wed Feb 03 | vs |  UT Arlington #211 | conf | +0.5 | 52% |
| Sat Feb 06 | at | North Alabama #332 | conf | +0.5 | 52% |
| Wed Feb 10 | vs | Central Arkansas #181 | conf | -0.4 | 49% |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs |  Abilene Christian #192 | conf | +0.1 | 50% |
| Wed Feb 17 | vs | Austin Peay #163 | conf | -1.1 | 47% |
| Sat Feb 20 | at | Tarleton State #257 | conf | -3.3 | 40% |
| Sat Feb 27 | vs | Little Rock #320 | conf | +5.0 | 66% |
| Wed Mar 03 | at | Abilene Christian #192 | conf | -4.8 | 35% |
| Sat Mar 06 | at | UT Arlington #211 | conf | -4.3 | 36% |
Projected margin is from Eastern Kentucky's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.