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Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi returns 86% of last season's minutes and rates #207 on offense and #103 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -5.9 to +8.3.
Why we have them here
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi's preseason projection of +1.2 (No. 145 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth +1.4, about the +1.0 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 161 at the end of 2025-26) adds +0.0, about its neighbours' +0.1; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -0.5. It returns 86% of last season's minutes, more than teams ranked near it (49%). The projection leans most on Sheldon Williams (+3.6), Nick Shogbonyo (+1.4) and Mason Gibson (+1.0); the newcomer who matters most is Ja'Cori Jones, a freshman, recruit No. 372, at -0.2. Its 80% range, -5.9 to +8.3, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 83% · Transfer 10% · Freshman 4% · Other newcomer 3%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 152 | Sheldon Williams | F | 6-8 | 2 | Returning | Texas A&M-Corpus Christi | 24 | +5.9 | +3.6 |
| 686 | Nick Shogbonyo | G | 6-1 | 2 | Returning | Texas A&M-Corpus Christi | 22 | +2.5 | +1.4 |
| 829 | Mason Gibson | G | 6-0 | 1 | Returning | Texas A&M-Corpus Christi | 21 | +2.0 | +1.0 |
| 916 | Daniel Michelini-Jackson | G | 6-5 | 1 | Returning | Texas A&M-Corpus Christi | 16 | +1.9 | +0.8 |
| 1288 | Cenker Evran | F | 6-8 | 1 | Returning | Texas A&M-Corpus Christi | 19 | +0.6 | +0.3 |
| 1952 | Cedric Horton | G | 6-5 | 1 | Returning | Texas A&M-Corpus Christi | 8 | -0.5 | -0.1 |
| 2301 | Trenton Pane | G | 5-10 | 1 | Returning | Texas A&M-Corpus Christi | 7 | -0.9 | -0.2 |
| 2695 | Ja'Cori Jones | G | 5-11 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 8 | -1.3 | -0.2 |
| 2981 | Michael Oaks | F | 6-10 | 3 | Other newcomer | 5 | -1.9 | -0.3 | |
| 3022 | Kayden Crosby | F | 6-7 | 1 | Returning | Texas A&M-Corpus Christi | 5 | -2.1 | -0.2 |
| 3200 | Kam Parker | G | 6-2 | 3 | Returning | Texas A&M-Corpus Christi | 14 | -1.3 | -0.5 |
| 3269 | Kobi Pearson | F | 6-8 | 1 | Returning | Texas A&M-Corpus Christi | 8 | -1.8 | -0.4 |
| 4121 | Bryson Wheatfall | G | 6-4 | 1 | Returning | Texas A&M-Corpus Christi | 9 | -2.5 | -0.6 |
| 4251 | Jamal Ambrose | F | 6-10 | 3 | Returning | Texas A&M-Corpus Christi | 5 | -3.8 | -0.5 |
| 4450 | Sebastian Robinson | G | 6-3 | 3 | Transfer | NJIT | 20 | -2.1 | -1.0 |
| 4636 | Jaden Haire | F | 6-7 | 1 | Returning | Texas A&M-Corpus Christi | 7 | -3.8 | -0.7 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | at | -4.6 | 35% | ||
| Fri Nov 06 | at | +0.1 | 50% | ||
| Fri Nov 13 | at | -10.2 | 21% | ||
| Tue Nov 17 | at | -1.1 | 46% | ||
| Sat Nov 21 | at | +1.6 | 55% | ||
| Mon Nov 23 | at | -11.5 | 17% | ||
| Sat Dec 05 | at | conf | +2.6 | 58% | |
| Mon Dec 07 | at | conf | +4.1 | 63% | |
| Sat Dec 12 | at | -10.6 | 19% | ||
| Sat Dec 19 | vs | conf | +6.5 | 70% | |
| Mon Dec 21 | vs | conf | +3.9 | 62% | |
| Tue Dec 29 | at | -21.4 | 4% | ||
| Sat Jan 02 | at | conf | -0.3 | 49% | |
| Mon Jan 04 | vs | conf | +7.4 | 73% | |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs | conf | +7.5 | 73% | |
| Mon Jan 11 | vs | conf | +10.0 | 79% | |
| Sat Jan 16 | at | conf | +2.9 | 59% | |
| Mon Jan 18 | at | conf | -7.7 | 26% | |
| Sat Jan 23 | vs | conf | +8.9 | 77% | |
| Tue Jan 26 | at | conf | +2.3 | 58% | |
| Sat Jan 30 | at | conf | +3.6 | 62% | |
| Mon Feb 01 | vs | conf | +4.9 | 66% | |
| Sat Feb 06 | vs | conf | +7.6 | 73% | |
| Mon Feb 08 | vs | conf | +9.1 | 77% | |
| Sat Feb 13 | at | conf | +0.7 | 52% | |
| Mon Feb 15 | at | conf | -1.3 | 46% | |
| Sat Feb 20 | vs | conf | -1.2 | 46% | |
| Mon Feb 22 | vs | conf | +8.0 | 74% | |
| Sat Feb 27 | at | conf | +1.7 | 55% | |
| Mon Mar 01 | at | conf | +4.2 | 63% |
Projected margin is from Texas A&M-Corpus Christi's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.