Teams › Big South · Compare South Carolina Upstate with another team
South Carolina Upstate
South Carolina Upstate returns 81% of last season's minutes and rates #341 on offense and #126 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -12.3 to +2.3.
Why we have them here
South Carolina Upstate's preseason projection of -5.0 (No. 268 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -1.0, more than the -2.8 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 270 at the end of 2025-26) adds -1.2, about its neighbours' -0.8; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -3.1. It returns 81% of last season's minutes, more than teams ranked near it (70%). The projection leans most on Learic Davis (+1.5), Jafeth Martinez (+1.0) and Breylin Garcia (+0.7); the newcomer who matters most is Miles Webb, a transfer from Delaware State, at +0.3. Its 80% range, -12.3 to +2.3, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 78% · Transfer 15% · Other newcomer 7%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 617 | Learic Davis | F | 6-6 | 3 | Returning | South Carolina Upstate | 21 | +2.8 | +1.5 |
| 849 | Jafeth Martinez | F | 6-9 | 1 | Returning | South Carolina Upstate | 21 | +1.9 | +1.0 |
| 974 | Breylin Garcia | F | 6-6 | 2 | Returning | South Carolina Upstate | 15 | +1.8 | +0.7 |
| 1127 | Isaiah Skinner | G | 6-5 | 2 | Returning | South Carolina Upstate | 19 | +1.0 | +0.5 |
| 1284 | Miles Webb | F | 6-8 | 4 | Transfer | Delaware State | 23 | +0.6 | +0.3 |
| 3336 | TJ Lewis | F | 6-4 | 0 | Other newcomer | 6 | -2.0 | -0.3 | |
| 3588 | Nic Book | F | 6-8 | 2 | Returning | South Carolina Upstate | 9 | -2.0 | -0.4 |
| 3831 | Alessandro Perotti | F | 6-10 | 0 | Other newcomer | 7 | -2.4 | -0.4 | |
| 4114 | Tyler Smith | G | 6-0 | 1 | Returning | South Carolina Upstate | 21 | -1.6 | -0.9 |
| 4143 | David Tubek | F | 6-7 | 3 | Transfer | UTEP | 7 | -2.9 | -0.5 |
| 4313 | CJ Rich | G | 5-9 | 3 | Returning | South Carolina Upstate | 8 | -3.0 | -0.6 |
| 4521 | Coen Collier | C | 7-1 | 1 | Returning | South Carolina Upstate | 12 | -2.8 | -0.8 |
| 4713 | Chico Johnson | G | 6-2 | 2 | Returning | South Carolina Upstate | 6 | -4.4 | -0.7 |
| 4997 | Mason Bendinger | G | 6-4 | 1 | Returning | South Carolina Upstate | 24 | -2.9 | -1.7 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | at |  East Carolina #182 | -8.4 | 25% | |
| Fri Nov 06 | vs |  South Carolina State #360 | +11.9 | 83% | |
| Mon Nov 09 | at |  Coastal Carolina #301 | -3.8 | 38% | |
| Sat Nov 14 | at |  Campbell #224 | -7.8 | 27% | |
| Wed Nov 18 | vs |  Samford #190 | +2.5 | 58% | |
| Sat Nov 21 | at |  UNC Greensboro #246 | -6.6 | 30% | |
| Wed Nov 25 | at |  The Citadel #345 | -1.1 | 47% | |
| Sun Nov 29 | vs |  West Georgia #295 | +6.5 | 70% | |
| Wed Dec 02 | vs |  Georgia Southern #298 | +6.6 | 70% | |
| Sat Dec 05 | at |  North Carolina Central #353 | -1.0 | 47% | |
| Sat Dec 12 | at |  Davidson #132 | -10.2 | 20% | |
| Wed Dec 16 | at |  Butler #86 | -14.7 | 12% | |
| Mon Dec 21 | at |  Miami #18 | -22.9 | 3% | |
| Fri Jan 01 | vs |  UNC Asheville #245 | conf | +1.1 | 54% |
| Sun Jan 03 | at |  High Point #40 | conf | -16.9 | 9% |
| Wed Jan 06 | vs |  Radford #241 | conf | +1.2 | 54% |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs |  Winthrop #177 | conf | -1.0 | 47% |
| Wed Jan 13 | at |  Charleston Southern #276 | conf | -2.1 | 43% |
| Wed Jan 20 | at |  Presbyterian #243 | conf | -3.2 | 40% |
| Sat Jan 23 | vs |  Gardner-Webb #361 | conf | +9.0 | 77% |
| Thu Jan 28 | at |  Longwood #195 | conf | -4.7 | 35% |
| Sat Jan 30 | vs | High Point #40 | conf | -11.2 | 18% |
| Wed Feb 03 | vs | Presbyterian #243 | conf | +1.1 | 54% |
| Sat Feb 06 | at | Radford #241 | conf | -3.4 | 39% |
| Sat Feb 13 | at | Winthrop #177 | conf | -5.6 | 33% |
| Thu Feb 18 | vs | Charleston Southern #276 | conf | +2.4 | 58% |
| Sat Feb 20 | at | UNC Asheville #245 | conf | -3.5 | 39% |
| Thu Feb 25 | at | Gardner-Webb #361 | conf | +5.3 | 67% |
| Sat Feb 27 | vs | Longwood #195 | conf | -0.4 | 49% |
Projected margin is from South Carolina Upstate's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.