Teams › OVC · Compare SIU Edwardsville with another team
SIU Edwardsville
SIU Edwardsville returns 79% of last season's minutes and rates #290 on offense and #174 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -10.7 to +3.8.
Why we have them here
SIU Edwardsville's preseason projection of -3.4 (No. 234 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -2.6, about the -2.3 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 211 at the end of 2025-26) adds -0.6, about its neighbours' -0.6; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -0.5. It returns 79% of last season's minutes, more than teams ranked near it (65%). The projection leans most on Tyler King (+1.4), Darrion Baker (+0.0) and Jo Valrie (-0.2); the newcomer who matters most is Dehrio McCaskill, a newcomer from outside Division I, at -0.3. Its 80% range, -10.7 to +3.8, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 75% · Transfer 12% · Freshman 5% · Other newcomer 4%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 642 | Tyler King | G | 6-4 | 1 | Returning | SIU Edwardsville | 20 | +2.8 | +1.4 |
| 1626 | Darrion Baker | F | 6-8 | 2 | Returning | SIU Edwardsville | 19 | +0.0 | +0.0 |
| 2120 | Jo Valrie | F | 6-5 | 2 | Returning | SIU Edwardsville | 22 | -0.4 | -0.2 |
| 2661 | CJ Hall | G | 6-2 | 3 | Returning | SIU Edwardsville | 14 | -0.9 | -0.3 |
| 2677 | Iwo Baganc | F | 6-8 | 1 | Returning | SIU Edwardsville | 9 | -1.2 | -0.3 |
| 2888 | Gianni Cobb | G | 6-0 | 2 | Transfer | Northern Illinois | 24 | -0.8 | -0.5 |
| 3120 | Dehrio McCaskill | F | 6-3 | 0 | Other newcomer | 8 | -1.7 | -0.3 | |
| 3574 | Brennan Miller | F | 6-7 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 9 | -1.9 | -0.4 |
| 3599 | Harrison Alexander | G | 6-5 | 2 | Returning | SIU Edwardsville | 10 | -1.9 | -0.5 |
| 4042 | Darius Robinson Jr. | G | 6-1 | 2 | Returning | SIU Edwardsville | 11 | -2.2 | -0.6 |
| 4364 | Corentin Efono | G | 6-4 | 1 | Returning | SIU Edwardsville | 10 | -2.8 | -0.7 |
| 4444 | Myles Thompson | F | 6-7 | 2 | Returning | SIU Edwardsville | 19 | -2.1 | -1.0 |
| 4941 | Jordan Pickett | G | 6-3 | 3 | Returning | SIU Edwardsville | 17 | -3.2 | -1.3 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Nov 07 | at |  Lipscomb #118 | -10.3 | 20% | |
| Mon Nov 09 | at |  Missouri #43 | -16.7 | 9% | |
| Fri Nov 13 | at |  Duke #2 | -25.8 | 2% | |
| Mon Nov 16 | at |  North Dakota #310 | -2.6 | 42% | |
| Wed Nov 25 | vs |  Northern Illinois #333 | +9.8 | 79% | |
| Sun Nov 29 | vs |  UTSA #284 | +7.5 | 73% | |
| Wed Dec 02 | at |  Indiana State #116 | -10.7 | 19% | |
| Sat Dec 05 | vs |  Denver #240 | +5.9 | 69% | |
| Wed Dec 09 | vs | North Dakota #310 | +8.7 | 76% | |
| Fri Dec 18 | at |  Valparaiso #172 | -7.3 | 27% | |
| Mon Dec 21 | at |  Kansas City #338 | -1.5 | 45% | |
| Wed Dec 30 | vs |  Lindenwood #258 | conf | +3.6 | 61% |
| Sat Jan 02 | at |  Western Illinois #362 | conf | +7.0 | 72% |
| Sat Jan 09 | at |  Tennessee State #154 | conf | -5.3 | 33% |
| Thu Jan 14 | vs |  UT Martin #271 | conf | +3.8 | 62% |
| Sat Jan 16 | vs |  Southeast Missouri State #219 | conf | +2.2 | 57% |
| Thu Jan 21 | at |  Southern Indiana #315 | conf | +1.5 | 55% |
| Sat Jan 23 | at |  Morehead State #265 | conf | -1.7 | 44% |
| Thu Jan 28 | at | UT Martin #271 | conf | -0.7 | 48% |
| Sat Jan 30 | vs | Western Illinois #362 | conf | +11.3 | 82% |
| Sat Feb 06 | at |  Eastern Illinois #324 | conf | +1.1 | 54% |
| Thu Feb 11 | vs | Morehead State #265 | conf | +3.6 | 62% |
| Sat Feb 13 | at | Southeast Missouri State #219 | conf | -3.1 | 40% |
| Wed Feb 17 | vs | Tennessee State #154 | conf | +0.1 | 50% |
| Sat Feb 20 | at | Lindenwood #258 | conf | -1.9 | 44% |
| Thu Feb 25 | vs | Eastern Illinois #324 | conf | +6.2 | 69% |
| Sat Feb 27 | vs | Southern Indiana #315 | conf | +5.9 | 68% |
Projected margin is from SIU Edwardsville's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.