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Denver
Denver returns 90% of last season's minutes and rates #87 on offense and #363 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -11.0 to +3.6.
Why we have them here
Denver's preseason projection of -3.6 (No. 240 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -0.7, more than the -2.6 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 257 at the end of 2025-26) adds -0.3, about its neighbours' -0.6; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -2.8. It returns 90% of last season's minutes, more than teams ranked near it (68%). The projection leans most on Zane Nelson (+3.2), Carson Johnson (+2.3) and Gabe Oldham (+0.1); the newcomer who matters most is Kaden Holdbrook, a newcomer from outside Division I, at -0.3. Its 80% range, -11.0 to +3.6, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 84% · Transfer 10% · Other newcomer 6%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 182 | Zane Nelson | G | 6-4 | 1 | Returning | Denver | 24 | +5.4 | +3.2 |
| 471 | Carson Johnson | G | 6-1 | 1 | Returning | Denver | 30 | +3.0 | +2.3 |
| 1568 | Gabe Oldham | F | 6-8 | 1 | Returning | Denver | 21 | +0.1 | +0.1 |
| 2093 | Logan Kinsey | F | 6-6 | 1 | Returning | Denver | 25 | -0.4 | -0.2 |
| 2828 | Loch Cunningham | F | 6-5 | 2 | Returning | Denver | 4 | -2.0 | -0.2 |
| 3018 | Kaden Holdbrook | F | 6-2 | 0 | Other newcomer | 6 | -1.8 | -0.3 | |
| 3114 | Josh Lee | G | 6-3 | 3 | Returning | Denver | 9 | -1.5 | -0.4 |
| 3283 | Trajan Thompson | F | 6-6 | 0 | Other newcomer | 6 | -2.1 | -0.3 | |
| 3375 | Devin Carney | G | 6-1 | 3 | Returning | Denver | 3 | -3.0 | -0.2 |
| 3746 | Spencer Mahoney | F | 6-8 | 2 | Transfer | Temple | 4 | -3.0 | -0.3 |
| 3861 | Didier Maleng | F | 6-9 | 1 | Returning | Denver | 7 | -2.5 | -0.4 |
| 4291 | CJ Hyland | G | 6-1 | 2 | Transfer | Western Carolina | 10 | -2.6 | -0.7 |
| 4300 | Corleone Dandridge | G | 6-5 | 1 | Returning | Denver | 5 | -3.7 | -0.5 |
| 4630 | Babacar Mbengue | F | 7-0 | 2 | Transfer | Kansas City | 6 | -4.3 | -0.6 |
| 4717 | Shaun Wysocki | F | 6-7 | 1 | Returning | Denver | 15 | -2.8 | -1.1 |
| 4816 | Jeremiah Burke | F | 6-7 | 3 | Returning | Denver | 24 | -2.4 | -1.4 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | at | -19.4 | 6% | ||
| Sat Nov 07 | at | -5.5 | 33% | ||
| Sat Nov 14 | vs | +0.2 | 51% | ||
| Sat Nov 21 | at | -4.9 | 34% | ||
| Mon Nov 23 | at | -25.3 | 2% | ||
| Sat Nov 28 | at | -8.9 | 23% | ||
| Tue Dec 01 | at | +2.5 | 58% | ||
| Sat Dec 05 | at | -5.9 | 31% | ||
| Tue Dec 08 | at | -1.6 | 45% | ||
| Wed Dec 09 | vs | +2.8 | 59% | ||
| Fri Dec 11 | at | -3.3 | 40% | ||
| Mon Dec 14 | at | -4.5 | 36% | ||
| Sat Dec 19 | vs | +5.2 | 66% | ||
| Tue Dec 29 | at | -15.0 | 11% | ||
| Sat Jan 02 | at | conf | -3.9 | 38% | |
| Wed Jan 06 | vs | conf | -7.6 | 27% | |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs | conf | -3.5 | 39% | |
| Wed Jan 13 | at | conf | -1.7 | 45% | |
| Sat Jan 16 | at | conf | -1.2 | 46% | |
| Wed Jan 20 | vs | conf | +5.8 | 68% | |
| Wed Jan 27 | at | conf | -3.6 | 39% | |
| Sat Jan 30 | at | conf | -5.1 | 34% | |
| Wed Feb 03 | vs | conf | -0.2 | 49% | |
| Sat Feb 06 | vs | conf | +1.7 | 56% | |
| Wed Feb 10 | at | conf | -12.4 | 16% | |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs | conf | -0.6 | 48% | |
| Wed Feb 17 | at | conf | +1.6 | 55% | |
| Sat Feb 20 | at | conf | -8.0 | 26% | |
| Wed Feb 24 | vs | conf | -0.8 | 48% | |
| Sat Feb 27 | vs | conf | +2.3 | 57% |
Projected margin is from Denver's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.