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Grambling
Grambling returns 68% of last season's minutes and rates #350 on offense and #155 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -14.1 to +0.6.
Why we have them here
Grambling's preseason projection of -6.7 (No. 302 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -3.7, about the -4.3 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 285 at the end of 2025-26) adds -1.7, about its neighbours' -1.1; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -1.7. It returns 68% of last season's minutes, about the same as teams ranked near it (69%). The projection leans most on Roderick Coffee III (+3.3), Jamil Muttilib (+0.1) and Isaiah Miranda (-0.4); the newcomer who matters most is Isaiah Miranda, a transfer from Long Island University, at -0.4. Its 80% range, -14.1 to +0.6, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 68% · Transfer 16% · Other newcomer 5%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 230 | Roderick Coffee III | F | 6-4 | 3 | Returning | Grambling | 29 | +4.6 | +3.3 |
| 1544 | Jamil Muttilib | G | 6-6 | 2 | Returning | Grambling | 24 | +0.1 | +0.1 |
| 3247 | Isaiah Miranda | F | 7-1 | 3 | Transfer | Long Island University | 12 | -1.5 | -0.4 |
| 3366 | Mekhi Fitts | F | 6-7 | 1 | Returning | Grambling | 13 | -1.5 | -0.5 |
| 3979 | Josue Grullon | F | 6-5 | 2 | Other newcomer | 10 | -2.2 | -0.6 | |
| 3999 | Randarius Jones | C | 6-7 | 3 | Returning | Grambling | 15 | -1.9 | -0.7 |
| 4389 | Chancellor Perkins | G | 6-2 | 1 | Returning | Grambling | 9 | -3.0 | -0.7 |
| 4398 | Saliou Seye | F | 7-0 | 3 | Returning | Grambling | 10 | -2.9 | -0.7 |
| 4674 | Nazar Mahmoud | G | 6-5 | 3 | Returning | Grambling | 12 | -3.1 | -0.9 |
| 5006 | Devyn Franklin | G | 6-8 | 2 | Returning | Grambling | 18 | -3.4 | -1.5 |
| 5053 | Richard Amaefule | F | 6-9 | 2 | Returning | Grambling | 9 | -5.1 | -1.1 |
| 5215 | Dwayne Pierce | G | 6-5 | 1 | Transfer | North Carolina A&T | 20 | -4.8 | -2.5 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | N | +1.7 | 56% | ||
| Mon Nov 09 | at | -23.8 | 3% | ||
| Mon Nov 16 | at | -24.4 | 2% | ||
| Thu Nov 19 | vs | +1.5 | 55% | ||
| Wed Nov 25 | at | -4.6 | 35% | ||
| Sun Nov 29 | at | -8.9 | 24% | ||
| Thu Dec 03 | at | -8.4 | 25% | ||
| Fri Dec 04 | N | -5.4 | 33% | ||
| Sun Dec 13 | vs | +4.8 | 65% | ||
| Thu Dec 17 | at | -28.8 | <1% | ||
| Mon Dec 21 | vs | +1.9 | 56% | ||
| Sat Jan 02 | at | conf | +0.2 | 51% | |
| Mon Jan 04 | at | conf | -1.4 | 46% | |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs | conf | -1.5 | 45% | |
| Mon Jan 11 | vs | conf | +3.5 | 61% | |
| Sat Jan 16 | at | conf | -6.0 | 32% | |
| Sat Jan 23 | at | conf | +10.3 | 80% | |
| Mon Jan 25 | at | conf | +1.3 | 54% | |
| Sat Jan 30 | vs | conf | +6.1 | 69% | |
| Mon Feb 01 | vs | conf | +6.4 | 70% | |
| Sat Feb 06 | at | conf | -0.3 | 49% | |
| Mon Feb 08 | at | conf | -0.7 | 48% | |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs | conf | +3.1 | 60% | |
| Mon Feb 15 | vs | conf | +3.7 | 62% | |
| Sat Feb 20 | vs | conf | -0.7 | 48% | |
| Thu Feb 25 | at | conf | -6.1 | 31% | |
| Sat Feb 27 | at | conf | -0.8 | 47% | |
| Tue Mar 02 | vs | conf | +3.7 | 62% | |
| Thu Mar 04 | vs | conf | +3.6 | 61% |
Projected margin is from Grambling's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.