Roster Math

Teams › Mountain West · Compare Wyoming with another team

Wyoming

Wyoming returns 64% of last season's minutes and rates #114 on offense and #169 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -4.5 to +10.2.

+2.8
Rating · #121 of 365
+2.5
Offense · #114
+0.3
Defense · #169
-4.5 to +10.2
80% range
<1%
Chance of top 25
0%
Chance of No. 1
17-14
Projected record · 12 to 22 wins
10-8
Projected in Mountain West · 6 to 13 wins

Why we have them here

Wyoming's preseason projection of +2.8 (No. 121 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth +2.6, more than the +1.8 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 116 at the end of 2025-26) adds +0.8, about its neighbours' +0.5; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -0.8. It returns 64% of last season's minutes, more than teams ranked near it (55%). The projection leans most on Khaden Bennett (+4.7), Nasir Meyer (+3.2) and Uriyah Rojas (+0.8); the newcomer who matters most is Renars Sondors, a transfer from UL Monroe, at -0.1. Its 80% range, -4.5 to +10.2, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.

Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.

Roster

Returning 61% · Transfer 33% · Freshman 4% · Other newcomer 3%

Khaden Bennett+4.7
Nasir Meyer+3.2
Uriyah Rojas+0.8
Gavin Gores+0.4
Renars Sondors-0.1
Garrett Spielman-0.1
Talan Taylor-0.2
Neil Summers-0.2
Parker Gerrits-0.2
Chris Pohl-0.3
Simm-Marten Saadi-0.4
Micah Curtis-0.5
Canin Jefferson-1.0
Kiani Saxon-1.0
RankPlayerPosHtD1 yrsGroupFromMPGRatingContrib.
81Khaden BennettG6-43ReturningWyoming28+6.7+4.7
239Nasir MeyerG6-71ReturningWyoming28+4.6+3.2
945Uriyah RojasG6-31ReturningWyoming18+1.8+0.8
1162Gavin GoresF6-101ReturningWyoming17+1.0+0.4
1915Renars SondorsF6-92TransferUL Monroe25-0.2-0.1
2352Garrett SpielmanG6-71ReturningWyoming5-1.2-0.1
2365Talan TaylorG6-41ReturningWyoming5-1.3-0.2
2504Parker GerritsG6-22TransferWashington State10-1.0-0.2
2808Neil SummersF6-90Other newcomer6-1.6-0.2
3187Chris PohlF6-70FreshmanHigh school7-1.8-0.3
3441Simm-Marten SaadiF6-91ReturningWyoming9-1.8-0.4
3759Micah CurtisF6-81TransferNorth Dakota8-2.2-0.5
4305Canin JeffersonG6-23TransferNorth Alabama22-1.8-1.0
4767Kiani SaxonF6-81ReturningWyoming13-3.2-1.0

A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.

Schedule

DateOpponentProj. marginWin prob.
Fri Nov 06vsIdaho State #261+10.580%
Tue Nov 10atNorth Carolina #54-12.615%
Sat Nov 14atDenver #240-0.249%
Tue Nov 17vsSam Houston #185+8.575%
Sun Nov 22NDuquesne #156+1.555%
Tue Nov 24NKent State #133+0.552%
Sun Nov 29vsEastern Washington #146+7.072%
Wed Dec 02vsAustin Peay #163+7.874%
Sat Dec 05vsSan Diego #263+11.182%
Fri Dec 11atColorado State #67-10.021%
Mon Dec 14vsWinthrop #177+8.475%
Sat Dec 19atPortland #339+2.959%
Tue Dec 22atLoyola Marymount #170-3.738%
Sat Jan 02vsNevada #66conf-1.745%
Tue Jan 05atUTEP #237conf+2.358%
Sat Jan 09atGrand Canyon #59conf-8.026%
Tue Jan 12vsUC Davis #255conf+7.773%
Sat Jan 16atHawai'i #179conf-0.150%
Tue Jan 19vsUTEP #237conf+7.072%
Fri Jan 22atAir Force #357conf+9.779%
Tue Jan 26vsUNLV #139conf+3.862%
Sat Jan 30vsGrand Canyon #59conf-2.343%
Sat Feb 06atNevada #66conf-7.527%
Wed Feb 10atUNLV #139conf-1.844%
Sat Feb 13vsHawai'i #179conf+5.367%
Tue Feb 16vsNew Mexico #50conf-3.639%
Sat Feb 20atSan José State #187conf+0.451%
Tue Feb 23atUC Davis #255conf+3.260%
Sat Feb 27vsAir Force #357conf+13.687%
Tue Mar 02atNew Mexico #50conf-9.422%
Fri Mar 05vsSan José State #187conf+5.266%

Projected margin is from Wyoming's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.