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Western Kentucky
Western Kentucky returns 55% of last season's minutes and rates #137 on offense and #208 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -6.7 to +7.8.
Why we have them here
Western Kentucky's preseason projection of +0.6 (No. 160 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth +1.5, more than the +0.6 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 169 at the end of 2025-26) adds +0.1, about its neighbours' +0.2; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -1.3. It returns 55% of last season's minutes, about the same as teams ranked near it (61%). The projection leans most on Teagan Moore (+5.1), Sharron Young (+1.7) and LJ Hackman (+0.9); the newcomer who matters most is Sharron Young, a transfer from Akron, at +1.7. Its 80% range, -6.7 to +7.8, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 53% · Transfer 38% · Freshman 5% · Other newcomer 5%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | Teagan Moore | G | 6-5 | 3 | Returning | Western Kentucky | 27 | +7.6 | +5.1 |
| 518 | Sharron Young | G | 6-0 | 2 | Transfer | Akron | 20 | +3.4 | +1.7 |
| 870 | LJ Hackman | G | 6-3 | 1 | Returning | Western Kentucky | 20 | +1.9 | +0.9 |
| 1034 | Armelo Boone | G | 6-4 | 1 | Returning | Western Kentucky | 21 | +1.3 | +0.7 |
| 1642 | Emondrek Erkins-Ford | F | 6-9 | 1 | Transfer | Jacksonville State | 17 | +0.0 | +0.0 |
| 2044 | Drew Fuquay | F | 6-8 | 1 | Transfer | Marshall | 9 | -0.6 | -0.1 |
| 2517 | Trevion LaBeaux | F | 6-3 | 2 | Other newcomer | 5 | -1.5 | -0.2 | |
| 2544 | Gabe Weis | F | 6-6 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 9 | -1.1 | -0.2 |
| 2737 | Lawson Rice | F | 6-6 | 0 | Other newcomer | 5 | -1.7 | -0.2 | |
| 3149 | Cade Stinnett | G | 6-3 | 1 | Returning | Western Kentucky | 6 | -1.9 | -0.3 |
| 3327 | Kade Unseld | G | 6-5 | 1 | Returning | Western Kentucky | 10 | -1.7 | -0.4 |
| 4162 | EJ Walker | F | 6-7 | 1 | Transfer | South Carolina | 11 | -2.3 | -0.6 |
| 4309 | Jack Edelen | G | 5-10 | 3 | Returning | Western Kentucky | 6 | -3.3 | -0.5 |
| 4550 | Noah Boyde | F | 7-0 | 2 | Returning | Western Kentucky | 8 | -3.4 | -0.7 |
| 4750 | Leeroy Odiahi | F | 6-11 | 3 | Returning | Western Kentucky | 8 | -4.1 | -0.8 |
| 4923 | Noah Norgaard | G | 6-2 | 1 | Transfer | UNC Greensboro | 18 | -3.0 | -1.4 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | vs |  Morehead State #265 | +8.9 | 76% | |
| Sun Nov 08 | at |  Tennessee Tech #280 | -0.9 | 47% | |
| Mon Nov 16 | at |  Tulsa #82 | -11.3 | 18% | |
| Fri Nov 20 | N |  Richmond #136 | -0.9 | 47% | |
| Sun Nov 22 | N |  George Washington #119 | -1.8 | 44% | |
| Fri Nov 27 | at |  Illinois #5 | -22.3 | 4% | |
| Tue Dec 01 | vs |  Belmont #94 | +1.3 | 54% | |
| Sat Dec 05 | at |  Evansville #317 | -0.4 | 49% | |
| Sat Dec 12 | vs |  UAB #158 | +5.4 | 67% | |
| Wed Dec 16 | vs |  Lipscomb #118 | +3.6 | 61% | |
| Tue Dec 22 | at |  Tulane #250 | -2.9 | 41% | |
| Thu Dec 31 | at |  Kennesaw State #167 | conf | -2.5 | 42% |
| Sat Jan 02 | at |  Jacksonville State #203 | conf | -0.1 | 50% |
| Thu Jan 07 | vs |  New Mexico State #137 | conf | +1.4 | 54% |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs |  Sam Houston #185 | conf | +3.2 | 60% |
| Thu Jan 14 | at |  Delaware #325 | conf | +5.4 | 67% |
| Sat Jan 16 | at |  Liberty #150 | conf | -3.3 | 39% |
| Thu Jan 21 | vs |  Missouri State #201 | conf | +3.7 | 62% |
| Sat Jan 23 | vs |  Florida International #143 | conf | +1.7 | 55% |
| Sat Jan 30 | vs |  Middle Tennessee #127 | conf | +0.6 | 52% |
| Thu Feb 04 | at | Sam Houston #185 | conf | -1.3 | 46% |
| Sat Feb 06 | at | New Mexico State #137 | conf | -3.1 | 40% |
| Thu Feb 11 | vs | Liberty #150 | conf | +1.7 | 56% |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs | Delaware #325 | conf | +8.3 | 75% |
| Thu Feb 18 | at | Florida International #143 | conf | -3.3 | 40% |
| Sat Feb 20 | at | Missouri State #201 | conf | -0.3 | 49% |
| Sat Feb 27 | at | Middle Tennessee #127 | conf | -4.3 | 36% |
| Thu Mar 04 | vs | Jacksonville State #203 | conf | +3.7 | 62% |
| Sat Mar 06 | vs | Kennesaw State #167 | conf | +2.6 | 58% |
Projected margin is from Western Kentucky's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.