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Marist
Marist returns 63% of last season's minutes and rates #298 on offense and #113 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -9.2 to +5.6.
Why we have them here
Marist's preseason projection of -1.9 (No. 205 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -0.9, about the -1.2 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 141 at the end of 2025-26) adds +0.0, about its neighbours' -0.3; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -1.4. It returns 63% of last season's minutes, about the same as teams ranked near it (66%). The projection leans most on Elijah Lewis (+1.9), Myles Parker (+1.2) and Parby Kabamba (+1.0); the newcomer who matters most is Drew Diaz, a newcomer from outside Division I, at -0.2. Its 80% range, -9.2 to +5.6, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 63% · Transfer 11% · Freshman 4% · Other newcomer 22%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 523 | Elijah Lewis | G | 6-5 | 2 | Returning | Marist | 26 | +3.0 | +1.9 |
| 671 | Myles Parker | F | 6-8 | 1 | Returning | Marist | 17 | +2.9 | +1.2 |
| 848 | Parby Kabamba | F | 6-6 | 2 | Returning | Marist | 20 | +2.0 | +1.0 |
| 1474 | Jordan Gabriel | C | 6-9 | 1 | Returning | Marist | 9 | +0.4 | +0.1 |
| 2392 | Drew Diaz | F | 6-2 | 0 | Other newcomer | 5 | -1.3 | -0.2 | |
| 2436 | Cameron Sweeney | F | 6-2 | 0 | Other newcomer | 5 | -1.3 | -0.2 | |
| 2451 | Josh Williams | F | 6-3 | 0 | Other newcomer | 5 | -1.4 | -0.2 | |
| 2451 | Brandon Arnold | F | 6-3 | 0 | Other newcomer | 5 | -1.4 | -0.2 | |
| 2595 | Brady MacAdams | F | 6-5 | 0 | Other newcomer | 5 | -1.5 | -0.2 | |
| 2719 | Tarik Watson | C | 6-8 | 2 | Returning | Marist | 10 | -1.2 | -0.3 |
| 2753 | Edward Onyia | F | 6-7 | 0 | Other newcomer | 6 | -1.6 | -0.2 | |
| 2917 | Logan Rodriguez | F | 6-9 | 0 | Other newcomer | 6 | -1.7 | -0.3 | |
| 3088 | Logan Franz | F | 6-11 | 0 | Other newcomer | 6 | -1.9 | -0.3 | |
| 3407 | Antoni Vlogianitis | G | 6-4 | 2 | Returning | Marist | 4 | -2.6 | -0.3 |
| 3625 | Dywane Chess | G | 6-3 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 9 | -2.0 | -0.4 |
| 3964 | Ricky McKenzie | G | 6-5 | 1 | Returning | Marist | 6 | -2.8 | -0.4 |
| 4231 | Jadin Collins-Roberts | G | 6-1 | 2 | Returning | Marist | 27 | -1.6 | -1.0 |
| 4260 | Martin Kawa | G | 6-4 | 2 | Returning | Marist | 7 | -3.1 | -0.5 |
| 4831 | Jack Graham | G | 6-3 | 3 | Transfer | New Hampshire | 23 | -2.5 | -1.4 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | vs |  Dartmouth #290 | +8.5 | 76% | |
| Thu Nov 05 | vs |  UMBC #180 | +4.6 | 65% | |
| Sun Nov 08 | at |  UMass Lowell #287 | -3.3 | 39% | |
| Fri Nov 13 | at |  Lehigh #256 | -3.4 | 39% | |
| Tue Nov 17 | at |  Army #314 | +0.1 | 50% | |
| Tue Nov 24 | vs |  Bryant #327 | +9.7 | 79% | |
| Sat Nov 28 | at |  George Mason #107 | -9.9 | 21% | |
| Fri Dec 04 | vs |  Sacred Heart #272 | conf | +4.6 | 65% |
| Sun Dec 06 | at |  Iona #282 | conf | +0.1 | 50% |
| Sun Dec 20 | at |  Tennessee #13 | -21.6 | 4% | |
| Tue Dec 22 | at |  Cincinnati #42 | -16.9 | 8% | |
| Tue Dec 29 | at |  Mount St. Mary's #204 | conf | -1.7 | 45% |
| Fri Jan 01 | vs |  Canisius #346 | conf | +8.3 | 75% |
| Sun Jan 03 | vs |  Niagara #329 | conf | +6.6 | 71% |
| Fri Jan 08 | at |  Merrimack #176 | conf | -2.8 | 41% |
| Sun Jan 10 | at |  Quinnipiac #200 | conf | -2.0 | 43% |
| Wed Jan 13 | vs |  Manhattan #309 | conf | +6.2 | 69% |
| Mon Jan 18 | at |  Rider #351 | conf | +4.9 | 66% |
| Fri Jan 22 | vs | Merrimack #176 | conf | +1.4 | 55% |
| Sun Jan 24 | at | Sacred Heart #272 | conf | -0.6 | 48% |
| Fri Jan 29 | vs | Iona #282 | conf | +5.2 | 66% |
| Sun Jan 31 | vs |  Siena #208 | conf | +2.4 | 58% |
| Fri Feb 05 | at | Niagara #329 | conf | +2.9 | 59% |
| Sun Feb 07 | at | Canisius #346 | conf | +3.9 | 63% |
| Thu Feb 11 | vs |  Fairfield #248 | conf | +3.7 | 62% |
| Sat Feb 13 | at |  Saint Peter's #289 | conf | +0.5 | 52% |
| Fri Feb 19 | vs | Mount St. Mary's #204 | conf | +2.4 | 58% |
| Sun Feb 21 | vs | Rider #351 | conf | +9.1 | 77% |
| Sun Feb 28 | at | Siena #208 | conf | -1.9 | 44% |
Projected margin is from Marist's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.