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Boston College
Boston College returns 5% of last season's minutes and rates #153 on offense and #97 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -3.8 to +10.7.
Why we have them here
Boston College's preseason projection of +3.4 (No. 114 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth +3.3, more than the +2.0 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 202 at the end of 2025-26) adds -0.6, less than its neighbours' +0.5; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add +0.4. It returns 5% of last season's minutes, less than teams ranked near it (59%). The projection leans most on Andrija Bukumirovic (+3.2), Money Williams (+2.5) and Brandon Benjamin (+1.5); the newcomer who matters most is Andrija Bukumirovic, a transfer from UT Martin, at +3.2. Its 80% range, -3.8 to +10.7, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 3% · Transfer 91% · Other newcomer 6%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 176 | Andrija Bukumirovic | F | 6-7 | 2 | Transfer | UT Martin | 23 | +5.6 | +3.2 |
| 330 | Money Williams | G | 6-4 | 3 | Transfer | Montana | 24 | +4.3 | +2.5 |
| 670 | Brandon Benjamin | F | 6-8 | 1 | Transfer | Fairfield | 24 | +2.5 | +1.5 |
| 845 | Ernest Shelton | G | 6-5 | 1 | Transfer | Merrimack | 27 | +1.7 | +1.2 |
| 1247 | Luke Hunger | F | 6-10 | 4 | Transfer | George Washington | 14 | +0.8 | +0.3 |
| 1534 | Armoni Zeigler | G | 6-4 | 3 | Transfer | Ball State | 22 | +0.2 | +0.1 |
| 1701 | Jacob Furphy | G | 6-6 | 1 | Transfer | UConn | 4 | -0.1 | +0.0 |
| 2243 | Aly Tounkara | F | 7-0 | 2 | Transfer | Arkansas State | 12 | -0.7 | -0.2 |
| 2591 | Jordan Ghee | F | 6-4 | 0 | Other newcomer | 4 | -1.7 | -0.2 | |
| 2595 | Jameson O'Toole | G | 6-3 | 2 | Transfer | Fordham | 3 | -1.9 | -0.2 |
| 2615 | Will Eggemeier | G | 6-2 | 2 | Returning | Boston College | 3 | -2.1 | -0.1 |
| 2728 | ak Smrekar | F | 6-6 | 0 | Other newcomer | 4 | -1.8 | -0.2 | |
| 2830 | Jack DiDonna | G | 6-0 | 3 | Returning | Boston College | 2 | -2.5 | -0.2 |
| 3019 | Jack Bailey | F | 6-10 | 0 | Other newcomer | 5 | -2.1 | -0.2 | |
| 3468 | Colby Duggan | F | 6-7 | 3 | Transfer | Charleston | 16 | -1.4 | -0.5 |
| 4028 | JB Frankel | G | 6-3 | 3 | Transfer | Northeastern | 13 | -2.0 | -0.7 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue Nov 03 | vs |  Wagner #291 | +12.2 | 84% | |
| Fri Nov 06 | N |  Massachusetts #178 | +2.9 | 59% | |
| Tue Nov 10 | vs |  Maryland Eastern Shore #356 | +16.3 | 91% | |
| Sun Nov 15 | vs |  New Hampshire #335 | +14.6 | 88% | |
| Wed Nov 18 | at |  Harvard #123 | -3.7 | 38% | |
| Sun Nov 22 | vs |  NJIT #347 | +15.8 | 90% | |
| Thu Nov 26 | N |  UCF #70 | -3.9 | 38% | |
| Fri Nov 27 | N |  Cincinnati #42 | -6.7 | 29% | |
| Tue Dec 01 | at |  Georgia #32 | -15.3 | 11% | |
| Sat Dec 05 | vs |  UMass Lowell #287 | +12.2 | 84% | |
| Wed Dec 09 | vs |  Northeastern #296 | +12.8 | 85% | |
| Sat Dec 12 | vs |  George Washington #119 | +6.0 | 69% | |
| Sun Dec 20 | vs |  New Haven #326 | +13.1 | 86% | |
| Tue Dec 22 | vs |  Stonehill #354 | +16.6 | 91% | |
| Sat Jan 02 | vs |  North Carolina #54 | conf | -3.0 | 41% |
| Tue Jan 05 | vs |  Clemson #46 | conf | -3.6 | 38% |
| Sat Jan 09 | at |  Virginia Tech #45 | conf | -10.0 | 21% |
| Wed Jan 13 | at |  Virginia #19 | conf | -14.5 | 12% |
| Sat Jan 16 | vs |  Duke #2 | conf | -12.9 | 15% |
| Tue Jan 19 | at |  Syracuse #71 | conf | -7.2 | 28% |
| Sat Jan 23 | at |  Pittsburgh #68 | conf | -6.7 | 29% |
| Wed Jan 27 | vs |  Louisville #7 | conf | -10.5 | 20% |
| Tue Feb 02 | at |  Wake Forest #76 | conf | -6.6 | 30% |
| Sat Feb 06 | vs |  Notre Dame #75 | conf | -1.0 | 47% |
| Tue Feb 09 | vs |  Georgia Tech #140 | conf | +4.0 | 63% |
| Sat Feb 13 | at |  NC State #36 | conf | -10.5 | 20% |
| Tue Feb 16 | vs |  SMU #53 | conf | -3.2 | 40% |
| Sat Feb 20 | vs | Virginia Tech #45 | conf | -3.9 | 38% |
| Wed Feb 24 | at |  California #115 | conf | -2.6 | 42% |
| Sat Feb 27 | at |  Stanford #69 | conf | -7.3 | 28% |
| Wed Mar 03 | vs |  Florida State #90 | conf | +0.3 | 51% |
| Sat Mar 06 | at | Notre Dame #75 | conf | -6.0 | 31% |
Projected margin is from Boston College's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.