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Iona
Iona returns 21% of last season's minutes and rates #310 on offense and #228 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -13.1 to +1.6.
Why we have them here
Iona's preseason projection of -5.7 (No. 282 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -3.1, about the -3.0 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 227 at the end of 2025-26) adds -0.6, about its neighbours' -1.1; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -2.3. It returns 21% of last season's minutes, less than teams ranked near it (70%). The projection leans most on Keyshawn Mitchell (+0.4), Kevon Vanderhorst (-0.1) and Nathan Kirk (-0.3); the newcomer who matters most is Keyshawn Mitchell, a transfer from VCU, at +0.4. Its 80% range, -13.1 to +1.6, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 16% · Transfer 43% · Other newcomer 41%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1110 | Keyshawn Mitchell | F | 6-11 | 3 | Transfer | VCU | 13 | +1.3 | +0.4 |
| 1875 | Kevon Vanderhorst | G | 6-2 | 2 | Transfer | Drexel | 25 | -0.2 | -0.1 |
| 2427 | Martin Kheil | G | 6-5 | 1 | Transfer | Idaho State | 26 | -0.6 | -0.4 |
| 3129 | Nathan Kirk | F | 6-1 | 0 | Other newcomer | 8 | -1.6 | -0.3 | |
| 3330 | Daniel Doyle | F | 6-3 | 0 | Other newcomer | 9 | -1.7 | -0.4 | |
| 3330 | Micah Tannenbaum | F | 6-3 | 0 | Other newcomer | 9 | -1.7 | -0.4 | |
| 3371 | Alliou Fall | F | 6-10 | 1 | Returning | Iona | 20 | -1.2 | -0.6 |
| 3439 | Abram Williams | F | 6-4 | 0 | Other newcomer | 9 | -1.8 | -0.4 | |
| 3506 | Sadiku Ayo | F | 1 | Other newcomer | 9 | -1.9 | -0.4 | ||
| 3506 | Oliver Sassella | F | 6-5 | 0 | Other newcomer | 9 | -1.9 | -0.4 | |
| 3588 | Max Moshinski | F | 6-6 | 0 | Other newcomer | 9 | -1.9 | -0.4 | |
| 3588 | Panagiotis Lefas | F | 6-6 | 0 | Other newcomer | 9 | -1.9 | -0.4 | |
| 3760 | Ore Odutayo | F | 6-8 | 0 | Other newcomer | 10 | -2.1 | -0.5 | |
| 3951 | Oscar Hourruitiner Jr. | G | 6-0 | 1 | Returning | Iona | 7 | -2.7 | -0.4 |
| 4053 | Aiden Disu | F | 6-7 | 1 | Transfer | Holy Cross | 22 | -1.5 | -0.9 |
| 4127 | Connor Horan | F | 6-8 | 1 | Returning | Iona | 6 | -3.0 | -0.5 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | vs |  Vermont #202 | +2.9 | 59% | |
| Thu Nov 05 | vs |  NJIT #347 | +9.9 | 79% | |
| Sun Nov 08 | at |  St. John's #21 | -24.2 | 3% | |
| Tue Nov 10 | at |  Fordham #125 | -10.7 | 19% | |
| Fri Nov 13 | at |  Hofstra #124 | -11.7 | 17% | |
| Mon Nov 16 | at |  UMBC #180 | -7.9 | 26% | |
| Fri Nov 20 | vs |  Kansas City #338 | +8.8 | 76% | |
| Mon Nov 23 | vs |  Fairleigh Dickinson #334 | +8.1 | 74% | |
| Sun Nov 29 | at |  Bryant #327 | -4.2 | 37% | |
| Fri Dec 04 | vs |  Quinnipiac #200 | conf | -0.2 | 49% |
| Sun Dec 06 | vs |  Marist #205 | conf | -0.1 | 50% |
| Sat Dec 12 | vs |  Colgate #197 | +2.9 | 59% | |
| Tue Dec 15 | at |  Charlotte #131 | -10.9 | 19% | |
| Fri Dec 18 | at |  Saint Mary's #60 | -17.5 | 8% | |
| Tue Dec 29 | at |  Merrimack #176 | conf | -5.5 | 33% |
| Fri Jan 01 | at |  Siena #208 | conf | -4.7 | 35% |
| Sun Jan 03 | vs |  Fairfield #248 | conf | +1.3 | 54% |
| Fri Jan 08 | at |  Niagara #329 | conf | +0.5 | 52% |
| Sun Jan 10 | at |  Canisius #346 | conf | +1.5 | 55% |
| Wed Jan 13 | vs |  Rider #351 | conf | +7.1 | 72% |
| Sat Jan 16 | vs |  Sacred Heart #272 | conf | +2.2 | 57% |
| Fri Jan 22 | at | Quinnipiac #200 | conf | -5.0 | 35% |
| Sun Jan 24 | vs |  Mount St. Mary's #204 | conf | -0.1 | 50% |
| Fri Jan 29 | at | Marist #205 | conf | -5.2 | 34% |
| Sun Jan 31 | at | Sacred Heart #272 | conf | -3.3 | 39% |
| Fri Feb 05 | vs |  Manhattan #309 | conf | +3.8 | 62% |
| Sun Feb 07 | vs | Siena #208 | conf | +0.0 | 50% |
| Thu Feb 11 | at |  Saint Peter's #289 | conf | -2.1 | 43% |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs | Niagara #329 | conf | +4.5 | 64% |
| Fri Feb 19 | at | Manhattan #309 | conf | -0.8 | 47% |
| Fri Feb 26 | at | Fairfield #248 | conf | -3.6 | 39% |
| Sun Feb 28 | vs | Saint Peter's #289 | conf | +2.9 | 59% |
Projected margin is from Iona's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.