Roster Math

Teams › Patriot · Compare Lehigh with another team

Lehigh

Lehigh returns 85% of last season's minutes and rates #300 on offense and #203 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -11.5 to +3.1.

-4.2
Rating · #256 of 365
-3.9
Offense · #300
-0.3
Defense · #203
-11.5 to +3.1
80% range
0%
Chance of top 25
0%
Chance of No. 1
14-15
Projected record · 9 to 19 wins
10-8
Projected in Patriot · 6 to 14 wins

Why we have them here

Lehigh's preseason projection of -4.2 (No. 256 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -2.0, about the -2.7 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 288 at the end of 2025-26) adds -1.5, about its neighbours' -0.8; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -1.0. It returns 85% of last season's minutes, more than teams ranked near it (68%). The projection leans most on Hank Alvey (+4.3), Joshua Ingram (+1.5) and Andrew Urosevic (-0.1); the newcomer who matters most is Caesar Burrows, a newcomer from outside Division I, at -0.4. Its 80% range, -11.5 to +3.1, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.

Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.

Roster

Returning 82% · Other newcomer 4%

Hank Alvey+4.3
Joshua Ingram+1.5
Andrew Urosevic-0.1
Caesar Burrows-0.4
Jake Pike-0.7
Alfredo Addesa-0.7
Peter Kramer-1.1
Edouard Benoit-1.1
Jalen Vazquez-1.7
Caleb Thomas-2.3
RankPlayerPosHtD1 yrsGroupFromMPGRatingContrib.
117Hank AlveyF6-92ReturningLehigh29+5.9+4.3
730Joshua IngramG6-43ReturningLehigh29+2.0+1.5
1909Andrew UrosevicG6-31ReturningLehigh19-0.3-0.1
3528Caesar BurrowsF6-30Other newcomer7-2.1-0.4
4441Edouard BenoitF6-82ReturningLehigh23-1.9-1.1
4489Jake PikeF6-83ReturningLehigh8-3.2-0.7
4600Alfredo AddesaF6-102ReturningLehigh7-3.8-0.7
4678Peter KramerG6-52ReturningLehigh17-2.6-1.1
5112Jalen VazquezG6-31ReturningLehigh17-4.1-1.7
5233Caleb ThomasG5-101ReturningLehigh14-6.5-2.3

A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.

Schedule

DateOpponentProj. marginWin prob.
Mon Nov 02atSaint Louis #56-17.58%
Thu Nov 05vsCornell #109-0.648%
Sun Nov 08vsBrown #184+2.759%
Fri Nov 13vsMarist #205+3.461%
Tue Nov 17atMount St. Mary's #204-6.530%
Tue Nov 24vsBinghamton #330+8.275%
Fri Nov 27NUC Santa Barbara #103-5.932%
Sat Nov 28NPepperdine #249-0.349%
Sat Dec 05vsMonmouth #216+3.862%
Sun Dec 20atFlorida International #143-10.121%
Tue Dec 22atAuburn #16-23.53%
Wed Dec 30vsAmerican University #188conf-0.349%
Sat Jan 02vsBoston University #230conf+1.154%
Wed Jan 06atArmy #314conf+1.755%
Sat Jan 09atBucknell #313conf+1.053%
Wed Jan 13vsHoly Cross #352conf+7.473%
Sat Jan 16atNavy #174conf-4.934%
Wed Jan 20vsArmy #314conf+4.564%
Sat Jan 23atLoyola Maryland #344conf+3.561%
Mon Jan 25vsColgate #197conf+0.251%
Sat Jan 30vsLafayette #342conf+5.968%
Wed Feb 03atBoston University #230conf-3.340%
Sat Feb 06vsBucknell #313conf+4.564%
Mon Feb 08atAmerican University #188conf-4.835%
Sat Feb 13atHoly Cross #352conf+3.762%
Wed Feb 17vsLoyola Maryland #344conf+6.670%
Sat Feb 20atLafayette #342conf+2.759%
Wed Feb 24atColgate #197conf-4.436%
Sat Feb 27vsNavy #174conf-0.648%

Projected margin is from Lehigh's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.