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New Orleans
New Orleans returns 71% of last season's minutes and rates #265 on offense and #319 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -14.2 to +0.5.
Why we have them here
New Orleans's preseason projection of -6.8 (No. 303 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -2.4, more than the -4.3 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 189 at the end of 2025-26) adds -0.1, more than its neighbours' -1.1; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -4.7. It returns 71% of last season's minutes, about the same as teams ranked near it (70%). The projection leans most on Nick Jones (+1.6), Enzo Boudouma (+0.4) and TJ Cope (+0.1); the newcomer who matters most is Nick Jones, a transfer from Wagner, at +1.6. Its 80% range, -14.2 to +0.5, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 66% · Transfer 14% · Other newcomer 5%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 658 | Nick Jones | G | 6-2 | 1 | Transfer | Wagner | 28 | +2.4 | +1.6 |
| 1218 | Enzo Boudouma | F | 6-9 | 1 | Returning | New Orleans | 20 | +0.8 | +0.4 |
| 1489 | TJ Cope | G | 6-7 | 1 | Returning | New Orleans | 23 | +0.2 | +0.1 |
| 3398 | Mathok Majok | C | 7-4 | 3 | Returning | New Orleans | 10 | -1.7 | -0.4 |
| 3637 | Eze Nwakamma | F | 6-8 | 0 | Other newcomer | 10 | -1.9 | -0.5 | |
| 3684 | Panagiotis Pagonis | F | 6-9 | 1 | Returning | New Orleans | 20 | -1.4 | -0.7 |
| 3737 | Irish Coquia | G | 6-2 | 1 | Returning | New Orleans | 13 | -1.7 | -0.6 |
| 4071 | Vieux Sanneh | F | 6-5 | 1 | Returning | New Orleans | 10 | -2.4 | -0.6 |
| 4351 | William Patterson | C | 7-2 | 1 | Returning | New Orleans | 8 | -3.1 | -0.6 |
| 4653 | Kedrick Osby | F | 6-7 | 1 | Returning | New Orleans | 18 | -2.5 | -1.1 |
| 4803 | Jamal Chretien II | G | 6-6 | 1 | Returning | New Orleans | 11 | -3.5 | -1.0 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue Nov 03 | at | -20.5 | 5% | ||
| Wed Nov 18 | at | -25.5 | 2% | ||
| Sat Nov 21 | at | -4.8 | 35% | ||
| Wed Nov 25 | vs | +4.6 | 65% | ||
| Sun Nov 29 | vs | +4.6 | 64% | ||
| Tue Dec 01 | at | -30.5 | <1% | ||
| Sat Dec 05 | vs | conf | -2.5 | 42% | |
| Mon Dec 07 | vs | conf | -4.1 | 37% | |
| Sun Dec 13 | at | -4.8 | 35% | ||
| Sat Dec 19 | at | conf | -3.0 | 40% | |
| Mon Dec 21 | at | conf | -1.8 | 44% | |
| Tue Dec 29 | at | -28.4 | 1% | ||
| Sat Jan 02 | at | conf | -3.8 | 38% | |
| Mon Jan 04 | at | conf | -1.4 | 45% | |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs | conf | +0.1 | 50% | |
| Mon Jan 11 | vs | conf | +0.8 | 53% | |
| Sat Jan 16 | at | conf | -6.9 | 29% | |
| Mon Jan 18 | at | conf | -4.8 | 35% | |
| Sat Jan 23 | vs | conf | +2.6 | 58% | |
| Tue Jan 26 | vs | conf | +0.4 | 51% | |
| Sat Jan 30 | at | conf | -3.0 | 40% | |
| Mon Feb 01 | vs | conf | -8.9 | 24% | |
| Sat Feb 06 | at | conf | -5.9 | 32% | |
| Mon Feb 08 | at | conf | -9.1 | 23% | |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs | conf | +0.3 | 51% | |
| Mon Feb 15 | vs | conf | +1.8 | 56% | |
| Sat Feb 20 | vs | conf | -0.8 | 47% | |
| Mon Feb 22 | vs | conf | -3.5 | 39% | |
| Sat Feb 27 | at | conf | -2.6 | 42% | |
| Mon Mar 01 | at | conf | -13.7 | 14% |
Projected margin is from New Orleans's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.