Teams › OVC · Compare UT Martin with another team
UT Martin
UT Martin returns 82% of last season's minutes and rates #322 on offense and #189 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -12.5 to +2.4.
Why we have them here
UT Martin's preseason projection of -5.1 (No. 271 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -4.2, less than the -2.8 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 177 at the end of 2025-26) adds -0.4, about its neighbours' -1.0; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -0.9. It returns 82% of last season's minutes, more than teams ranked near it (68%). The projection leans most on AJ Hopkins (+0.4), Enrique Moya (-0.3) and Lucas Williams (-0.4); the newcomer who matters most is Enrique Moya, a newcomer from outside Division I, at -0.3. Its 80% range, -12.5 to +2.4, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 55% · Other newcomer 28%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1213 | AJ Hopkins | F | 6-6 | 2 | Returning | UT Martin | 18 | +0.8 | +0.4 |
| 2931 | Enrique Moya | F | 5-11 | 0 | Other newcomer | 11 | -1.3 | -0.3 | |
| 3306 | Lucas Williams | F | 6-3 | 2 | Other newcomer | 11 | -1.5 | -0.4 | |
| 3454 | Charlie King | F | 6-5 | 0 | Other newcomer | 11 | -1.7 | -0.4 | |
| 3454 | Will Hopkins | F | 6-5 | 0 | Other newcomer | 11 | -1.7 | -0.4 | |
| 3713 | James Bass | F | 6-8 | 0 | Other newcomer | 11 | -1.8 | -0.5 | |
| 3975 | Ty Price | G | 5-10 | 1 | Returning | UT Martin | 12 | -2.0 | -0.6 |
| 4038 | Ama Sow | F | 6-9 | 1 | Returning | UT Martin | 12 | -2.1 | -0.6 |
| 4389 | Filip Radakovic | G | 6-7 | 2 | Returning | UT Martin | 25 | -1.8 | -1.1 |
| 4474 | Vladimir Khryapa | F | 6-8 | 1 | Returning | UT Martin | 18 | -2.2 | -1.0 |
| 4807 | Filip Petkovski | G | 6-5 | 1 | Returning | UT Martin | 25 | -2.3 | -1.5 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | at |  Tulane #250 | -6.5 | 30% | |
| Sat Nov 07 | at |  IU Indianapolis #279 | -5.7 | 32% | |
| Tue Nov 10 | at |  Arkansas State #134 | -11.1 | 19% | |
| Fri Nov 20 | N |  Southern Illinois #206 | -2.2 | 43% | |
| Wed Dec 02 | at |  Eastern Kentucky #264 | -5.6 | 32% | |
| Sun Dec 06 | at |  South Carolina #98 | -13.2 | 14% | |
| Wed Dec 09 | at |  North Alabama #332 | -2.7 | 41% | |
| Sun Dec 13 | at |  Tulsa #82 | -14.4 | 12% | |
| Mon Dec 14 | vs |  Northwestern State #277 | +4.8 | 65% | |
| Wed Dec 16 | at |  Penn State #89 | -14.4 | 12% | |
| Tue Dec 22 | at |  Davidson #132 | -9.8 | 21% | |
| Wed Dec 30 | vs |  Morehead State #265 | conf | +1.6 | 55% |
| Sat Jan 02 | at |  Lindenwood #258 | conf | -3.1 | 40% |
| Thu Jan 07 | vs |  Southeast Missouri State #219 | conf | +0.0 | 50% |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs |  Southern Indiana #315 | conf | +3.8 | 62% |
| Thu Jan 14 | at |  SIU Edwardsville #234 | conf | -3.8 | 38% |
| Sat Jan 16 | at |  Western Illinois #362 | conf | +5.9 | 69% |
| Sat Jan 23 | at |  Eastern Illinois #324 | conf | +0.0 | 50% |
| Thu Jan 28 | vs | SIU Edwardsville #234 | conf | +0.7 | 52% |
| Sat Jan 30 | at |  Tennessee State #154 | conf | -6.5 | 30% |
| Thu Feb 04 | vs | Western Illinois #362 | conf | +9.2 | 78% |
| Sat Feb 06 | vs | Lindenwood #258 | conf | +1.4 | 54% |
| Thu Feb 11 | at | Southeast Missouri State #219 | conf | -4.2 | 37% |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs | Eastern Illinois #324 | conf | +4.1 | 63% |
| Thu Feb 18 | at | Southern Indiana #315 | conf | +0.4 | 51% |
| Sat Feb 20 | at | Morehead State #265 | conf | -2.8 | 41% |
| Thu Feb 25 | vs | Tennessee State #154 | conf | -2.1 | 43% |
Projected margin is from UT Martin's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.