Teams › Summit · Compare Oral Roberts with another team
Oral Roberts
Oral Roberts returns 76% of last season's minutes and rates #270 on offense and #350 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -15.8 to -1.3.
Why we have them here
Oral Roberts's preseason projection of -8.6 (No. 323 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -4.3, more than the -5.4 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 320 at the end of 2025-26) adds -2.1, about its neighbours' -2.1; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -2.5. It returns 76% of last season's minutes, about the same as teams ranked near it (73%). The projection leans most on Connor Dow (+0.6), Luke Gray (+0.2) and Amire Robinson (+0.0); the newcomer who matters most is Amire Robinson, a transfer from Nevada, at +0.0. Its 80% range, -15.8 to -1.3, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 66% · Transfer 7% · Freshman 5% · Other newcomer 16%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1098 | Connor Dow | G | 6-6 | 3 | Returning | Oral Roberts | 27 | +0.9 | +0.6 |
| 1380 | Luke Gray | F | 6-6 | 2 | Returning | Oral Roberts | 18 | +0.4 | +0.2 |
| 1647 | Amire Robinson | G | 6-3 | 3 | Transfer | Nevada | 14 | +0.0 | +0.0 |
| 3079 | Cal Furnish | G | 5-10 | 1 | Returning | Oral Roberts | 20 | -1.0 | -0.5 |
| 3353 | Boden Williams | G | 6-2 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 11 | -1.6 | -0.4 |
| 3930 | Aaron Jacob | F | 6-8 | 1 | Returning | Oral Roberts | 11 | -2.1 | -0.6 |
| 4048 | Alex Couto | F | 6-1 | 0 | Other newcomer | 11 | -2.2 | -0.6 | |
| 4190 | Laymen McGrady | F | 6-4 | 0 | Other newcomer | 10 | -2.4 | -0.6 | |
| 4284 | Blake Smith | F | 6-6 | 4 | Other newcomer | 11 | -2.6 | -0.7 | |
| 4416 | Martins Kilups | G | 6-4 | 1 | Returning | Oral Roberts | 17 | -2.2 | -0.9 |
| 4566 | Lane Sparks | G | 6-3 | 1 | Returning | Oral Roberts | 12 | -2.9 | -0.8 |
| 4930 | Baron Smith Jr. | F | 6-9 | 1 | Returning | Oral Roberts | 10 | -4.2 | -1.0 |
| 5199 | Jack Turner | G | 6-3 | 2 | Returning | Oral Roberts | 18 | -4.8 | -2.2 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | at |  Central Arkansas #181 | -11.7 | 17% | |
| Wed Nov 11 | at |  Tulsa #82 | -17.5 | 8% | |
| Tue Nov 17 | at |  SMU #53 | -20.6 | 5% | |
| Sat Nov 21 | vs |  Texas A&M-Corpus Christi #145 | -1.6 | 45% | |
| Tue Nov 24 | at |  UT Arlington #211 | -10.0 | 21% | |
| Fri Nov 27 | vs |  Missouri State #201 | +0.4 | 51% | |
| Tue Dec 01 | at |  Creighton #41 | -21.8 | 4% | |
| Sat Dec 05 | at |  Arkansas #25 | -25.9 | 2% | |
| Sat Dec 12 | vs |  Louisiana #294 | +3.5 | 61% | |
| Wed Dec 16 | at |  Oklahoma State #91 | -17.8 | 8% | |
| Sat Dec 19 | vs | Central Arkansas #181 | -0.3 | 49% | |
| Tue Dec 29 | at |  TCU #51 | -21.3 | 4% | |
| Thu Jan 07 | vs |  South Dakota #322 | conf | +2.1 | 57% |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs |  South Dakota State #213 | conf | -2.4 | 42% |
| Thu Jan 14 | at |  North Dakota #310 | conf | -3.2 | 40% |
| Sat Jan 16 | at |  North Dakota State #225 | conf | -6.3 | 31% |
| Thu Jan 21 | vs |  St. Thomas-Minnesota #130 | conf | -5.6 | 32% |
| Sat Jan 23 | vs |  Omaha #274 | conf | -0.3 | 49% |
| Sat Jan 30 | at |  Kansas City #338 | conf | -2.0 | 44% |
| Thu Feb 04 | at | South Dakota State #213 | conf | -6.9 | 29% |
| Sat Feb 06 | at | South Dakota #322 | conf | -3.3 | 40% |
| Thu Feb 11 | vs | North Dakota State #225 | conf | -2.0 | 43% |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs | North Dakota #310 | conf | +1.3 | 54% |
| Thu Feb 18 | at | Omaha #274 | conf | -4.4 | 36% |
| Sun Feb 21 | at | St. Thomas-Minnesota #130 | conf | -10.4 | 20% |
| Sat Feb 27 | vs | Kansas City #338 | conf | +2.8 | 59% |
Projected margin is from Oral Roberts's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.