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Southern Miss
Southern Miss returns 69% of last season's minutes and rates #245 on offense and #178 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -9.4 to +5.2.
Why we have them here
Southern Miss's preseason projection of -2.2 (No. 214 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -0.2, more than the -1.3 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 225 at the end of 2025-26) adds -0.6, about its neighbours' -0.3; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -1.7. It returns 69% of last season's minutes, about the same as teams ranked near it (64%). The projection leans most on Djahi Binet (+2.8), Isaac Taveras (+1.8) and Cameron Wallace (+0.3); the newcomer who matters most is Cameron Wallace, a transfer from Little Rock, at +0.3. Its 80% range, -9.4 to +5.2, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 64% · Transfer 28% · Other newcomer 8%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 275 | Djahi Binet | F | 6-7 | 3 | Returning | Southern Miss | 25 | +4.5 | +2.8 |
| 521 | Isaac Taveras | G | 6-6 | 3 | Returning | Southern Miss | 22 | +3.2 | +1.8 |
| 1300 | Cameron Wallace | F | 6-8 | 1 | Transfer | Little Rock | 26 | +0.5 | +0.3 |
| 2120 | Marcus Overstreet | F | 6-9 | 2 | Transfer | San José State | 10 | -0.6 | -0.2 |
| 2403 | Chiante' Tramble | G | 6-2 | 1 | Returning | Southern Miss | 14 | -0.8 | -0.3 |
| 2562 | Jett Montgomery | F | 5-11 | 2 | Other newcomer | 5 | -1.5 | -0.2 | |
| 2935 | Israel Hart | G | 6-3 | 1 | Returning | Southern Miss | 19 | -1.0 | -0.5 |
| 2988 | EJ Paymon | F | 6-9 | 1 | Returning | Southern Miss | 6 | -1.8 | -0.3 |
| 3032 | Mike Montano | F | 1 | Other newcomer | 6 | -1.9 | -0.3 | ||
| 3108 | Dalyn Brandon | G | 6-5 | 1 | Returning | Southern Miss | 8 | -1.7 | -0.3 |
| 3120 | Chandler Watts | F | 6-6 | 0 | Other newcomer | 6 | -1.9 | -0.3 | |
| 3691 | Dylan Brumfield | G | 6-5 | 3 | Returning | Southern Miss | 25 | -1.2 | -0.8 |
| 4713 | Jalyke Gaines-Wyatt | G | 6-0 | 3 | Transfer | Hampton | 20 | -2.4 | -1.2 |
| 5086 | Brewer Carruth | G | 6-4 | 2 | Returning | Southern Miss | 8 | -5.5 | -1.1 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri Nov 06 | at | -23.8 | 3% | ||
| Wed Nov 11 | vs | +13.7 | 86% | ||
| Fri Nov 13 | at | -7.1 | 28% | ||
| Tue Nov 17 | vs | +5.5 | 67% | ||
| Thu Nov 19 | at | -1.5 | 45% | ||
| Sat Nov 21 | N | +1.9 | 56% | ||
| Sun Nov 22 | N | -1.3 | 46% | ||
| Sun Nov 29 | vs | +8.9 | 76% | ||
| Wed Dec 02 | vs | +6.8 | 71% | ||
| Sat Dec 05 | at | -12.8 | 15% | ||
| Thu Dec 10 | at | -13.4 | 14% | ||
| Sat Dec 19 | vs | conf | +0.2 | 51% | |
| Tue Dec 22 | N | -8.6 | 24% | ||
| Thu Dec 31 | at | conf | -1.1 | 46% | |
| Sat Jan 02 | at | conf | +0.9 | 53% | |
| Thu Jan 07 | vs | conf | +5.7 | 68% | |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs | conf | +5.7 | 68% | |
| Wed Jan 13 | vs | conf | +0.5 | 52% | |
| Sat Jan 16 | at | conf | -6.2 | 31% | |
| Wed Jan 20 | vs | conf | +11.3 | 82% | |
| Sat Jan 23 | at | conf | -1.6 | 45% | |
| Thu Jan 28 | at | -3.3 | 39% | ||
| Sat Jan 30 | vs | conf | +5.3 | 67% | |
| Sat Feb 06 | at | conf | -2.1 | 43% | |
| Thu Feb 11 | vs | +7.4 | 73% | ||
| Sat Feb 13 | at | conf | +0.8 | 53% | |
| Wed Feb 17 | at | conf | +6.2 | 69% | |
| Sat Feb 20 | at | conf | -5.0 | 34% | |
| Wed Feb 24 | vs | conf | -0.5 | 48% | |
| Fri Feb 26 | vs | conf | +2.9 | 59% |
Projected margin is from Southern Miss's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.