Teams › CUSA · Compare Sam Houston with another team
Sam Houston
Sam Houston returns 74% of last season's minutes and rates #136 on offense and #259 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -8.2 to +6.6.
Why we have them here
Sam Houston's preseason projection of -0.8 (No. 185 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -1.7, about the -1.0 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 92 at the end of 2025-26) adds +1.0, more than its neighbours' +0.1; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -0.5. It returns 74% of last season's minutes, more than teams ranked near it (65%). The projection leans most on Matt Dann (+0.6), Po'Boigh King (+0.4) and CJ Beaumont (-0.2); the newcomer who matters most is Noah Benny, a newcomer from outside Division I, at -0.2. Its 80% range, -8.2 to +6.6, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 61% · Transfer 5% · Freshman 6% · Other newcomer 13%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1006 | Matt Dann | F | 7-0 | 1 | Returning | Sam Houston | 17 | +1.5 | +0.6 |
| 1277 | Po'Boigh King | G | 6-5 | 3 | Returning | Sam Houston | 26 | +0.6 | +0.4 |
| 1997 | CJ Beaumont | G | 6-8 | 3 | Returning | Sam Houston | 18 | -0.4 | -0.2 |
| 2300 | Riccardo Greppi | F | 6-10 | 2 | Transfer | Wisconsin | 11 | -0.8 | -0.2 |
| 2362 | Noah Benny | F | 6-0 | 0 | Other newcomer | 8 | -0.9 | -0.2 | |
| 2387 | Nathan Nguyen | F | 6-0 | 0 | Other newcomer | 9 | -0.9 | -0.2 | |
| 2583 | Jackson Rogers | F | 6-3 | 2 | Other newcomer | 9 | -1.1 | -0.3 | |
| 2693 | Jacobe Coleman | G | 6-3 | 1 | Returning | Sam Houston | 23 | -0.8 | -0.4 |
| 2780 | Justin Begg | G | 6-0 | 2 | Returning | Sam Houston | 24 | -0.8 | -0.5 |
| 3815 | Xavier Roberson | F | 6-7 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 12 | -1.8 | -0.6 |
| 3969 | Cheikh Ndiaye | F | 6-10 | 2 | Returning | Sam Houston | 14 | -1.9 | -0.7 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue Nov 03 | at |  Alabama #17 | -22.5 | 4% | |
| Wed Nov 11 | vs |  Pepperdine #249 | +7.6 | 73% | |
| Fri Nov 13 | at |  Illinois #5 | -23.2 | 3% | |
| Tue Nov 17 | at |  Wyoming #121 | -8.5 | 25% | |
| Fri Nov 20 | at |  Boise State #87 | -12.4 | 16% | |
| Tue Nov 24 | at |  Washington State #162 | -7.6 | 27% | |
| Fri Dec 04 | at |  Rice #262 | -2.6 | 42% | |
| Wed Dec 09 | at |  Denver #240 | -2.8 | 41% | |
| Sat Dec 12 | at |  Nevada #66 | -13.5 | 14% | |
| Tue Dec 15 | at |  Omaha #274 | -2.2 | 43% | |
| Sat Dec 19 | at |  Utah #72 | -14.3 | 12% | |
| Thu Dec 31 | vs |  Missouri State #201 | conf | +2.9 | 59% |
| Sat Jan 02 | vs |  Florida International #143 | conf | +0.8 | 52% |
| Thu Jan 07 | at |  Middle Tennessee #127 | conf | -5.3 | 34% |
| Sat Jan 09 | at |  Western Kentucky #160 | conf | -3.2 | 40% |
| Thu Jan 14 | vs |  Kennesaw State #167 | conf | +1.7 | 56% |
| Sat Jan 16 | vs |  Jacksonville State #203 | conf | +2.9 | 59% |
| Sat Jan 23 | at |  New Mexico State #137 | conf | -4.0 | 37% |
| Thu Jan 28 | at |  Liberty #150 | conf | -4.2 | 37% |
| Sat Jan 30 | at |  Delaware #325 | conf | +4.4 | 64% |
| Thu Feb 04 | vs | Western Kentucky #160 | conf | +1.3 | 54% |
| Sat Feb 06 | vs | Middle Tennessee #127 | conf | -0.2 | 49% |
| Thu Feb 11 | at | Jacksonville State #203 | conf | -1.1 | 46% |
| Sat Feb 13 | at | Kennesaw State #167 | conf | -3.5 | 39% |
| Sat Feb 20 | vs | New Mexico State #137 | conf | +0.5 | 52% |
| Thu Feb 25 | vs | Delaware #325 | conf | +7.5 | 73% |
| Sat Feb 27 | vs | Liberty #150 | conf | +0.9 | 53% |
| Thu Mar 04 | at | Florida International #143 | conf | -4.3 | 37% |
| Sat Mar 06 | at | Missouri State #201 | conf | -1.2 | 46% |
Projected margin is from Sam Houston's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.