Teams › ASUN · Compare Jacksonville with another team
Jacksonville
Jacksonville returns 70% of last season's minutes and rates #206 on offense and #283 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -11.2 to +3.3.
Why we have them here
Jacksonville's preseason projection of -3.9 (No. 253 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -2.7, about the -2.4 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 253 at the end of 2025-26) adds -0.7, about its neighbours' -0.8; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -0.8. It returns 70% of last season's minutes, about the same as teams ranked near it (68%). The projection leans most on Hayden Wood (+1.1), Caleb Williams (+0.3) and Chris Lockett Jr. (+0.2); the newcomer who matters most is Caleb Williams, a transfer from Lafayette, at +0.3. Its 80% range, -11.2 to +3.3, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 70% · Transfer 26% · Freshman 4%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 813 | Hayden Wood | G | 6-6 | 1 | Returning | Jacksonville | 23 | +2.0 | +1.1 |
| 1293 | Caleb Williams | G | 6-0 | 2 | Transfer | Lafayette | 26 | +0.5 | +0.3 |
| 1367 | Nehemiah Turner | F | 6-10 | 2 | Transfer | Minnesota | 6 | +0.8 | +0.1 |
| 1377 | Chris Lockett Jr. | G | 6-4 | 2 | Returning | Jacksonville | 20 | +0.4 | +0.2 |
| 2115 | Evan Sterck | G | 6-1 | 1 | Returning | Jacksonville | 20 | -0.4 | -0.2 |
| 2706 | Charles Caporaso | C | 7-0 | 1 | Returning | Jacksonville | 9 | -1.2 | -0.3 |
| 2713 | Jamie Phillips Jr. | G | 6-5 | 2 | Transfer | Stetson | 20 | -0.8 | -0.4 |
| 2719 | Evan Roberts | G | 6-1 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 7 | -1.4 | -0.2 |
| 3071 | Lamont Jackson | G | 6-0 | 1 | Returning | Jacksonville | 4 | -2.2 | -0.2 |
| 3129 | Roman Loux | G | 6-0 | 1 | Returning | Jacksonville | 4 | -2.3 | -0.2 |
| 3415 | Tito Deng | F | 6-11 | 3 | Returning | Jacksonville | 4 | -2.6 | -0.3 |
| 3422 | Simon Wheeler | G | 5-10 | 2 | Returning | Jacksonville | 6 | -2.2 | -0.3 |
| 3812 | Anakin Brown | G | 6-3 | 2 | Returning | Jacksonville | 7 | -2.5 | -0.4 |
| 4322 | Michael Harper Jr. | G | 6-3 | 1 | Returning | Jacksonville | 5 | -3.8 | -0.5 |
| 4497 | Jaylen Jordon | F | 6-8 | 1 | Returning | Jacksonville | 8 | -3.3 | -0.7 |
| 4731 | Allen Udemadu | F | 6-10 | 3 | Returning | Jacksonville | 8 | -3.9 | -0.8 |
| 4841 | Enrico Borio | F | 6-8 | 2 | Returning | Jacksonville | 8 | -4.3 | -0.8 |
| 5061 | Donovan Rivers | F | 6-9 | 3 | Returning | Jacksonville | 14 | -4.0 | -1.4 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu Nov 05 | at |  Florida #1 | -30.4 | <1% | |
| Mon Nov 09 | vs |  Kansas City #338 | +10.1 | 79% | |
| Mon Nov 16 | at |  Georgia #32 | -20.1 | 5% | |
| Thu Nov 19 | vs |  Little Rock #320 | +8.9 | 77% | |
| Sat Nov 21 | vs |  Central Arkansas #181 | +3.9 | 63% | |
| Tue Nov 24 | at |  Indiana #55 | -16.8 | 8% | |
| Tue Dec 01 | at |  UCF #70 | -14.9 | 11% | |
| Sat Dec 05 | vs |  Florida International #143 | +2.7 | 58% | |
| Wed Dec 09 | at |  South Florida #83 | -14.4 | 12% | |
| Wed Dec 16 | at |  Florida State #90 | -13.4 | 14% | |
| Sat Dec 19 | at |  USC #35 | -18.7 | 6% | |
| Thu Dec 31 | at |  UT Arlington #211 | -6.5 | 30% | |
| Sat Jan 02 | at |  Abilene Christian #192 | -7.0 | 28% | |
| Thu Jan 07 | vs |  Lipscomb #118 | conf | -1.7 | 44% |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs |  Bellarmine #305 | conf | +4.9 | 66% |
| Thu Jan 14 | at |  Queens University #142 | conf | -6.3 | 30% |
| Sat Jan 16 | at |  West Florida #304 | conf | -0.6 | 48% |
| Sat Jan 23 | vs |  North Florida #321 | conf | +6.3 | 70% |
| Thu Jan 28 | vs |  Florida Gulf Coast #299 | conf | +4.8 | 65% |
| Sat Jan 30 | vs |  Stetson #311 | conf | +5.4 | 67% |
| Thu Feb 04 | at | Bellarmine #305 | conf | -0.4 | 49% |
| Sat Feb 06 | at | Lipscomb #118 | conf | -7.5 | 27% |
| Thu Feb 11 | vs | West Florida #304 | conf | +5.0 | 66% |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs | Queens University #142 | conf | -0.6 | 48% |
| Sat Feb 20 | at | North Florida #321 | conf | +1.0 | 53% |
| Thu Feb 25 | at | Stetson #311 | conf | +0.1 | 50% |
| Sat Feb 27 | at | Florida Gulf Coast #299 | conf | +0.1 | 50% |
Projected margin is from Jacksonville's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.